Ever since the 49ers traded their 2nd and 4th round draft picks in the 2009 draft to Carolina for a first round pick in the 2010 draft there have been rumors that Julius Peppers is San Francisco bound. I would like to be among the first to voice my strong opinion on what an excellent move this would be.
I don’t think that Carolina would let go of their franchise defensive end/OLB to just get back their first round pick next year. As much as I would love to see that, that would be a terrible exchange for Carolina, and let’s face it, I don’t think Scot McCloughan has the balls, or the aptitude, to make that offer, if he did, he would have just offered the 2nd and 4th round picks for Peppers and save himself and the Carolina front office some headaches. Carolina is looking for 2 first round picks, at least according to just about everything I have read on the matter since the end of the previous season. I don’t think Peppers is worth quite that much, he is a proven playmaker, and could be the difference on defense that we need. However that is quite a steep price to pay, even for someone as talented as Peppers, and I just don’t think he is that big of a difference maker. Parys Haralson looked very good at times last year, specifically times when the defense got off the field and got the rest they needed in the game, and Manny Lawson is in his second season coming off ACL surgery, I expect more out of him this year. I am also intrigued by our final pick of the draft this year, Ricky Jean-Francois. He was projected as a potential third round pick with gobs of talent, however some off-field issues kept him from going early on the second day of the draft. If he can get his head screwed on straight, as I wrote in my analysis of the draft, I think he has the potential to make a difference. Due to these factors, both of our first round picks next year are not worth giving up to get Peppers.
I do think there is a deal to be made though. The deal would have to include one of the first round picks, probably whichever is lower next year, and a player to go along with the pick. My proposal, if I were the GM of the 49ers, would be to send Manny Lawson and the lower pick to Carolina for Peppers, assuming he is ready to sign a long term deal to play in San Francisco. We would exchange one hybrid DE/OLB with tons of potential for another proven hybrid DE/OLB that can get the pressure on the QB that we have lacked so badly in the Erikson/Nolan era. Even if Peppers isn’t himself bringing the pressure, he attracts tons of attention from the offense which would allow Haralson a much clearer path to the QB, something I believe he would take advantage of. It would also allow Justin Smith to not be double or triple teamed every snap and potentially give the 49ers a fairly potent pass rush, something that has prevented us from realizing the aspirations we have had the previous two years. A pass rush takes pressure off of our DB’s because the opposing QB doesn’t have all day to decide what to do with the ball, he is forced to get rid of it quickly, much like our QB’s have had to do in the previous several seasons. We do have elite DB’s, we do have elite ILB’s, now it’s time to get an elite player who can get some pressure on the QB and take our defense from middle of the pack to the top 3rd in the NFL which also allows us to play the type of football that Coach Singletary wants to play, that is to win games 10-7 or 14-10. Let’s hope our front office pulls its head out of it collective rear end and make this deal that so badly needs to be made.
Tuesday, May 12, 2009
Thursday, May 7, 2009
The Giants Lineup
It’s no secret that the Giants, on most nights struggle to hit their way out of a wet paper bag. The Giants currently rank last in runs scored (90), homeruns (14), second to last in on base percentage (.310), last in slugging percentage (.367), and the list goes on and on. Simply put, the Giants just aren’t hitting right now and, to be honest, there doesn’t seem to be much hope that the Giants will improve themselves by any large margin during the season.
The previous post made a great argument that I have to disagree with slightly. It’s true, we should have gone after Dunn. Had we been able to get him for the same 2 year deal that the Nationals did, he would be an absolute bargain and immediately become the best hitter on the Giants by a large margin. He can play left, right, and first, so we could have moved him around and still gotten time for Lewis and Winn, both of whom can play any outfield position. Ishikawa would have been relegated to a late inning defensive replacement, and would have been able to get a couple hundred at bats over the course of the season to try to adjust to major league pitching. Plus, it would have allowed the Giants to send down Velez, who serves no purpose on the Giants roster.
Where I disagree is with the signing of Hudson. He would have made the Giants better in the short term, but would have hurt the development of the team in the long term. Burriss is struggling at the plate right now but has shown the ability to hit major league pitching over a large enough sample size to suggest he can do it again. He plays great defense at second and is only 24. He’s past the point where he can develop any further in the minors and needs to see the field consistently to see whether or not he’s going to become a good hitter at the major league level. The point is that, because of when he would have been signed, Hudson would have blocked a major league ready player at a time when the Giants are trying to get significantly younger and at a time when their playoff chances are really dependant on getting a big, middle of the order bat, rather than a player like Hudson.
So, the Giants have neither Dunn nor Hudson, and are left with Ishikawa at first and Burriss at second. The more I watch Ishikawa hit, the less optimistic I am about his ability to turn it around. What I thought was patience seems now to be indecisiveness because he can’t seem to pull the trigger when he gets a good pitch to hit. Multiple times now, I’ve seen him take good fastballs on a 0-1 or 2-0 count because it either wasn’t the pitch he was looking for or he wasn’t able to make the decision to swing soon enough. I don’t know if he can turn this kind of thing around, but he’s probably running out of time to do it in.
But even if Ishikawa can turn it all around, where’s his future on the Giants? The San Jose Giants, probably the most loaded team in the minors, has our future infield on it. Buster Posey will be the starting catcher next year, and Connor Gillaspie will be the starting third baseman either next year or the year after. Kung Fu Panda Sandoval is going to move to first, and that still leaves the Giants trying to find Villalona a spot. One of those players is going to end up in the outfield, and it’s a tossup as to which one.
I hope that I’m wrong. I hope that Ishikawa gets his head right (because I don’t think it’s his swing) and becomes a very productive first baseman with a great glove and he makes it hard for the Giants to make decisions with their young players. He’s certainly got the potential to do so, but potential can only keep you on the field for so long. You have to turn it into production.
The previous post made a great argument that I have to disagree with slightly. It’s true, we should have gone after Dunn. Had we been able to get him for the same 2 year deal that the Nationals did, he would be an absolute bargain and immediately become the best hitter on the Giants by a large margin. He can play left, right, and first, so we could have moved him around and still gotten time for Lewis and Winn, both of whom can play any outfield position. Ishikawa would have been relegated to a late inning defensive replacement, and would have been able to get a couple hundred at bats over the course of the season to try to adjust to major league pitching. Plus, it would have allowed the Giants to send down Velez, who serves no purpose on the Giants roster.
Where I disagree is with the signing of Hudson. He would have made the Giants better in the short term, but would have hurt the development of the team in the long term. Burriss is struggling at the plate right now but has shown the ability to hit major league pitching over a large enough sample size to suggest he can do it again. He plays great defense at second and is only 24. He’s past the point where he can develop any further in the minors and needs to see the field consistently to see whether or not he’s going to become a good hitter at the major league level. The point is that, because of when he would have been signed, Hudson would have blocked a major league ready player at a time when the Giants are trying to get significantly younger and at a time when their playoff chances are really dependant on getting a big, middle of the order bat, rather than a player like Hudson.
So, the Giants have neither Dunn nor Hudson, and are left with Ishikawa at first and Burriss at second. The more I watch Ishikawa hit, the less optimistic I am about his ability to turn it around. What I thought was patience seems now to be indecisiveness because he can’t seem to pull the trigger when he gets a good pitch to hit. Multiple times now, I’ve seen him take good fastballs on a 0-1 or 2-0 count because it either wasn’t the pitch he was looking for or he wasn’t able to make the decision to swing soon enough. I don’t know if he can turn this kind of thing around, but he’s probably running out of time to do it in.
But even if Ishikawa can turn it all around, where’s his future on the Giants? The San Jose Giants, probably the most loaded team in the minors, has our future infield on it. Buster Posey will be the starting catcher next year, and Connor Gillaspie will be the starting third baseman either next year or the year after. Kung Fu Panda Sandoval is going to move to first, and that still leaves the Giants trying to find Villalona a spot. One of those players is going to end up in the outfield, and it’s a tossup as to which one.
I hope that I’m wrong. I hope that Ishikawa gets his head right (because I don’t think it’s his swing) and becomes a very productive first baseman with a great glove and he makes it hard for the Giants to make decisions with their young players. He’s certainly got the potential to do so, but potential can only keep you on the field for so long. You have to turn it into production.
Monday, May 4, 2009
Screw Ramirez, Two Free Agents the Giants truly missed on
While all the attention this free agency was on the Giants supposed interest in Manny Ramirez, two free agents that could have truly affected the Giants ability to make it to the postseason fell through the cracks.
Adam Dunn
For what Manny Ramirez ended up with for one season, the Giants could have made Adam Dunn their everyday 1st baseman for two. While not as sound on the defensive end, there is a reason many power hitters play that position, they can be hidden there. While the Giants have prospect Angel Villalona who is gawd-awful at third and can be/will be transitioned to first, he is still 2-3 years down the line.
Adam Dunn's other drawback is that he strikes out too often ... has anyone else been watching the games so far? In 15 less at bats, Ishikawa has just as many strikeouts as Dunn.
If Dunn were on the Giants, and having similar numbers, he would lead them in homeruns, walks, on-base percentage, slugging, and then obviously OBS (a combo of the two); be third in batting average; and fourth in hits among Giants regulars.
Orlando Hudson
Orlando Hudson signed on with the team we do not speak of on February 21. I guess by that time, the Giants had decided to go for "No Deal or No Deal" at second between Burriss, whom along with Lewis should start doing push-ups everytime they hit a pop-fly, and Frandsen, who was coming off injury.
In an incentive laden deal, where Orlando could earn about 7 million a year including base and incentives, the Dodgers were paying for performance (hmmmm ... wish there was more incentive in a certain pitcher's contract ... ) It was a one year deal, however it did cost the Dodgers this year's upcoming 1st round pick.
Hudson's OBP would put him 2nd on the Giants behind the quickly cooling Fred Lewis. The big thing he would do over either Burriss or Frandsen is solidify the top half of the line-up.
Lineup had the Giants acquired Dunn and Hudson
2B O Hudson
RF R Winn
3B P Sandoval
1B A Dunn
C B Molina
LF F Lewis
SS E Renteria
CF A Rowand
Now I'll just let you think about that. As we go thru this season, wasting the last good year in Randy Johnson's arm, and having a young nucleus of Lincecum, Cain, and Sanchez waste away in the depths of a season hoping for .500, think of what could have been. If the Giants were in anyway serious about Ramirez, they could have had Dunn and Hudson to solidify the lineup we think and cringe about on a daily basis. Instead of mid 90s Braves, we are early 2000s Tigers.
Adam Dunn
For what Manny Ramirez ended up with for one season, the Giants could have made Adam Dunn their everyday 1st baseman for two. While not as sound on the defensive end, there is a reason many power hitters play that position, they can be hidden there. While the Giants have prospect Angel Villalona who is gawd-awful at third and can be/will be transitioned to first, he is still 2-3 years down the line.
Adam Dunn's other drawback is that he strikes out too often ... has anyone else been watching the games so far? In 15 less at bats, Ishikawa has just as many strikeouts as Dunn.
If Dunn were on the Giants, and having similar numbers, he would lead them in homeruns, walks, on-base percentage, slugging, and then obviously OBS (a combo of the two); be third in batting average; and fourth in hits among Giants regulars.
Orlando Hudson
Orlando Hudson signed on with the team we do not speak of on February 21. I guess by that time, the Giants had decided to go for "No Deal or No Deal" at second between Burriss, whom along with Lewis should start doing push-ups everytime they hit a pop-fly, and Frandsen, who was coming off injury.
In an incentive laden deal, where Orlando could earn about 7 million a year including base and incentives, the Dodgers were paying for performance (hmmmm ... wish there was more incentive in a certain pitcher's contract ... ) It was a one year deal, however it did cost the Dodgers this year's upcoming 1st round pick.
Hudson's OBP would put him 2nd on the Giants behind the quickly cooling Fred Lewis. The big thing he would do over either Burriss or Frandsen is solidify the top half of the line-up.
Lineup had the Giants acquired Dunn and Hudson
2B O Hudson
RF R Winn
3B P Sandoval
1B A Dunn
C B Molina
LF F Lewis
SS E Renteria
CF A Rowand
Now I'll just let you think about that. As we go thru this season, wasting the last good year in Randy Johnson's arm, and having a young nucleus of Lincecum, Cain, and Sanchez waste away in the depths of a season hoping for .500, think of what could have been. If the Giants were in anyway serious about Ramirez, they could have had Dunn and Hudson to solidify the lineup we think and cringe about on a daily basis. Instead of mid 90s Braves, we are early 2000s Tigers.
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